Sunday, July 21, 2013

The Federal Reserve Is Going To Up The Size Of QE

"The Fed is going to have to admit that it isn't working, and they're going to up the size of QE." - in CNBC.com 

Related ETFs: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR SP 500 Index ETF (SPY)



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Saturday, July 20, 2013

Gold Is Being Mispriced

"You have speculative longs getting out, speculative shorts getting in, but I think is operating under a false narrative and so gold is being mispriced. The U.S. economy is not recovering. We are entering back into a recession and might be in recession by the end of this year." - in CNBC

Related ETFs: Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR SP 500 Index ETF (SPY)



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Friday, July 19, 2013

Tapering, Post-QE World & Wrong Conclusions

"Yet the mere mention that tapering was even possible, combined with the Chairman's fairly sunny disposition (perhaps caused by the realization that the real mess will likely be his successor's problem to clean up) was enough to convince the market that the post-QE world was at hand. This conclusion is wrong." - an excerpt from Tapering the Taper Talk 

Related ETFs: SPDR SP 500 Index ETF (SPY), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

U.S. Treasuries: We Can Have A 4% Yield By The End Of The Summer

"Interest rates are rising, I also have been telling you that bond prices are going to fall, they are falling, interest rates are rising they are going to keep on rising. We can have a 4 percent 10 Year (US Treasury yield) even by the end of the summer." - in Futures Now



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

China Is Expected To Overtake America As The World's Biggest Importer In 2014

"For much of the past century, the United States has been the world's largest importer and exporter. This is what you may have expected from the world's dominant economy. But our days of preeminence are fading fast. In 2009, China surpassed the United States as the world's leading export nation (America is currently in third, behind Germany). As a small consolation, the U.S. still leads the world in exports of government debt. In February of this year, China became the world's largest trading nation (which is determined by combining imports and exports). And sometime in 2014, China is expected to overtake America as the world's biggest importer." - an excerpt from the Global Economic Realignment



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Sunday, July 14, 2013

Waiting For Godot

"Although many haven't yet realized it, the financial markets are stuck in a 'Waiting for Godot' era in which the change in policy that all are straining to see, will never in fact arrive." - in Money News  Related ETFs: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), SPDR SP 500 Index ETF (SPY)


Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Japan: A Free And Timely Lesson On The Dangers Of Overly Accommodative Monetary Policy

"The Japanese have a reputation for excessive courtesy. The current actions of the Japanese economic leadership, who are giving the world a free and timely lesson on the dangers of overly accommodative monetary policy, should confirm this stereotype. While their efforts should provide the rest of us with an invaluable benefit (provided we are alert enough to heed the clear warnings), the lesson will cost the Japanese dearly." - an excerpt from the Sock Puppet Kabuki; Nikkei Today Parallels Dot-Com Bust

Related indexes and ETFs: Nikkei 225, Topix Index, iShares Japan ETF (EWJ)



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Friday, July 12, 2013

Don't Believe The Mainstream

"Unfortunately just like 1976, a true economic recovery is not just around the corner. More likely we are in the eye of an economic storm that will blow much harder than the stagflation winds of the Jimmy Carter years. And once again the establishment is using the decline it the price of gold to validate its misguided policies and discredit its critics. But none of the problems that led me and other modern day gold bugs to buy gold ten years ago have been solved. In fact, monetary and fiscal policies have actually made them much worse. The sad truth is that as bad as things were back in 1976, they are much worse now. Whether as a nation we will be able to rise to the occasion, and actually finish the job that Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker started remains to be seen. But I am confident that the price of gold will rise much higher, and that its final ascent will be that much more spectacular the longer we continue on our current policy path. Don't believe the mainstream. Just as before, they will likely be wrong again." - in Street Insider Related stocks and ETFs: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), Novagold (NG), AngloGold (AU), Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold Inc. (FCX)



Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Gold has to go up including gold Miners

Mining is very energy intensive and ten years ago, oil was $12 - $15 a barrel, now it's $95 a barrel. So that's just one of the costs. Labor costs have gone up because the cost of living has gone up in many of the countries where gold is mined. The price of gold isn't even high because it doesn't even reflect its production costs.

It shows you how prices need to go higher. Most mines are going to be shut down and there will be no supply and that all by itself means the price of gold has to go up because there will be no supply.

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

The Definitive Take On The Vicious Sell Off In Gold

"The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles: Two years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost by half, putting the gold bugs in flight. The most recent advisory from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.

The rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery. The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold's allure.

Although the American economy has reduced its rapid rate of recovery, it is still on a firm expansionary course. The fear that dominated two years ago has largely vanished, replaced by a recovery that has turned the gold speculators' dreams into a nightmare.
This analysis provides a good representation of the current conventional wisdom. The only twist here is that the article from which this summary is derived appeared in the August 29, 1976 edition of The New York Times. At that time gold was preparing to embark on an historic rally that would push it up more than 700% a little over three years later. Is it possible that the history is about to repeat itself?" - in Street Insider

Related ETFs: SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)


Peter David Schiff is an investment broker, author and CEO of Euro Pacific Capital Inc. Schiff is known for his bearish views on the US economy and US dollar, and his bullish views on commodities, foreign stocks and foreign currencies

Monday, July 8, 2013

Lot of speculators in the Gold market

You have a lot of speculators driving the market. You have speculative longs that are getting out and you have speculative shorts getting in and in some cases they're the same people that are flipping their position, they were long and now they're short...

I think the idea came that the stock market is doing well. It has been outperforming gold. People were looking at what they perceived to be better opportunities elsewhere. There was the perception that as far as the global financial crisis the worst was behind us, and then you got Ben Bernanke basically claiming victory saying his policies have worked and we finally have the recovery we have been waiting for, and that he's on the verge of removing quantitative easing. ...

The Fed taking this away is giving people more reason to sell gold.

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Dont believe the mainstream, they are likely wrong

Unfortunately just like 1976, a true economic recovery is not just around the corner. More likely we are in the eye of an economic storm that will blow much harder than the stagflation winds of the Jimmy Carter years. And once again the establishment is using the decline it the price of gold to validate its misguided policies and discredit its critics. But none of the problems that led me and other modern day gold bugs to buy gold ten years ago have been solved. In fact, monetary and fiscal policies have actually made them much worse.

The sad truth is that as bad as things were back in 1976, they are much worse now. Whether as a nation we will be able to rise to the occasion, and actually finish the job that Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker started remains to be seen.

But I am confident that the price of gold will rise much higher, and that its final ascent will be that much more spectacular the longer we continue on our current policy path. Don't believe the mainstream. Just as before, they will likely be wrong again.

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